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基于 MT4 的基于菲博纳奇的移动平均值指标

基于 MT4 的基于菲博纳奇的移动平均值指标

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EMA 电子波外汇交易策略

EMA eWaves Forex Trading Strategy

不同的交易者对交易优势有不同的想法. 有些人认为这是一种策略, 其他人认为这是一个指标, 其他人认为它是一个系统, 有些人认为这是一种资金管理技术, 而其他人则认为这是交易者的心理. 我认为所有这些都部分正确. 事实上, 所有这些都可能有助于拥有这种难以捉摸的交易优势.

给我的, 交易优势是任何允许交易者长期获利的东西. 从统计学上讲,它可能显示交易者在获胜时获得更多的利润,而每当他们亏损时,他们损失的金额会更大. 这就是我们所说的正回报风险比率. 它也可以显示交易者赢得比他们失去的频率更多, 基于 MT4 的基于菲博纳奇的移动平均值指标 尽管有一个 1:1 奖励 - 风险比. 这就是我们所说的高概率交易. 它也可以是两者的结合. 无论交易优势的来源是什么, 只要一个交易者从长远来看获利, 这才是最重要的. "你赢了一些,输了一些, 只要结果是收入。

EMA eWave 外汇交易策略是一种高概率交易策略,能够提供正回报风险比率. 这种高中奖率和回报风险比率的组合使交易者能够长期获得指数级收益.

电子波指示器

eWaves 指标是一种独特的技术指标,允许交易者根据复杂的数学基础识别趋势方向. 此指标的计算来自修改后的移动平均线和菲博纳奇比率.

电子波指示器显示为作为直方图条绘制的振荡器. 它的条形可能从正向负振荡,反之亦然. 正杆表示看涨趋势方向, 而负条表示看跌趋势方向.

条形也根据趋势的强度更改颜色. 石灰绿条表明看涨趋势加强, 基于 MT4 的基于菲博纳奇的移动平均值指标 而深绿色的条形表示看涨趋势减弱. 红条显示看跌趋势加强, 而栗色酒吧表明看跌趋势减弱. 另一方面,橙色条表示可能的趋势逆转点.

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图解交易 第14讲 〡 移动平均线的其他应用

举例来说,在所有的商品市场上,月周期都是最广为人知的。每个周期都倾向于按照一二个倍数因子,与其上一级长周期,或者下一级短周期和谐地相互呼应。通常是,上一级长周期是本周期长度的双倍,下一级短周期则是本周期长度的一半。于是,我们从月周期上或许就能解释5天、10天、20天和40天移动平均线之所以流行的缘故。月周期的长度是20天。40天移动平均值是20天的两倍。10天移动平均值是20天的一半,5天移动平均值又是10天的一半。

菲波纳奇数字在移动平均线法中的应用艾略特波浪理论中有菲波纳奇数列。不过,在这里我们先要指出,这个神奇的数列——例如13,2l,34,55,89,144等等——在移动平均线法中看来也颇有用武之地。这一点不但对于日线图成立,而且在周线图中也适用。

菲波那奇数列在平均线中的应用(黄金)黄金 日线图 主要趋势 2017年12月到2018年9月

图解
上图是菲波纳奇数字应用于移动平均线的例子。13天平均线已经向下穿越了34天平均线(A点),发出了买入信号。B点和C点都可看作信号的验证。之后的价格变化经受住了较长期的144天平均线(虚点线)的考验。

移动平均线适用于任何时间尺度移动平均线方法最主要应用于日线图。不过,其实它既可以应用在更长期的趋势分析上,也可以应用于更短期的研究中。我们不应该忽视这两个方面。在连续周线图上,我们可以用l0周与30周移动平均线的组合来追踪开始于数年之前的主要趋势。

周线图上的移动平均线(黄金)黄金 周线图 主要趋势 2012年8月到2014年7月

图解
上图是短期13周和长期30周平均线的周线图例子。在下降趋势中,较长期的30周平均线(绿色)以“安全”的距离追随着趋势,使交易者在整个下跌中始终维持在空头一边。在底部的转进入盘整期时,13周较早发出离场信号。
红线向下穿越绿线后(A点)进场,红线上向上穿越绿线后离场(B点),AB两点的利润空间为3878.5点(1手获利38785美元)。从时间尺度上说,如果我们再往另一个方向看看,那么,也可以把移动平均线法应用于日内图上,辅助我们进行短线交易。

小总结
在12讲——14讲中,我们给出了移动平均线的许多具体用法。从某种意义上说,或许正是由于这种方法的极大灵活性,惹出了麻烦。使用者是“满箩里挑瓜,挑得眼花。”